Disclaimer

HEC (nor USACE) did not perform this study.  As such, we cannot verify accuracy of the study results.  However, we are providing this example for others to see exciting applications of HEC-HMS.  If you are interested in having your HEC-HMS application posted within this space for others to enjoy and learn from, please contact us: hec.hms@usace.army.mil

Author

Wellman Lake: wellman.lake@gmail.com

Introduction

In 2018 a feasibility study was conducted to evaluate the possibility of taking advantage of the water resources of the La Magüana River, a tributary of the San Juan River in the Dominican Republic.  The Magüana River basin is located southeast of the San Juan River basin, with the dam site at 263785.00 E and 2097181.00 N.  The aforementioned study was carried out using the hydrological model HSPF version 9, analyzing 22 years’ worth of data. This report shows the results of applying the HEC-HMS model to the same basin, taking the HSPF-9 resulting runoff time series as the HEC-HMS calibration goal.

 Magüana River Dam Site

Hydrometeorological Data

The data for this report is the same used in the original study. The hydrometeorological data available in the basin region was evaluated in order to determine the most appropriate methodology for the purposes of the study. The following table summarizes the availability of rainfall and weather data in the basin region.

In order to establish the relationship between the areal rainfall over the basin and the punctual rainfall in the Sabaneta station (the closest to the study basin), an isohyets map (illustrated below) was drawn for the period 1983-1986 in which the rainfall data had the best areal coverage, albeit with some missing data.

The modified daily rainfall from Sabaneta station was disaggregated to an hourly format using the patterns of nearby pluviograph stations.

The evaporation data from the San Juan Km-11 station was selected, with adjustments made to consider the higher elevation and increased cloud cover present in the basin area.

Climate Data Availability

Isohyets Map for the La Magüana River Dam Site, 1983 - 1986

The Magüana River basin is ungauged, but the Instituto Dominicano de Recursos Hidraulicos (INDRHI) has carried out several gauging campaigns at specific sites in the basin. These campaigns correspond to three (3) different periods, as shown in the following table. In the absence of continuous flow registration, the gauging campaigns at specific sites provide insight into the order of magnitude of the flow rate of the Magüana River. The capacity at the Magüana and Magüana Arriba sites are affected by the derivations of the Los Santiles canal, on which construction was completed in the early 1970s.

Gauging Campaigns on Magüana River

Site

Samples

Period

Flow Rate (cms)

El Naranjal

29

1976/10 – 1966/07

1.436

Magüana

54

1989/03 – 2008/07

0.904

Magüana Arriba

3

1987/01 – 1987/05

0.857

Geomorphological Data

Using a satellite image with a resolution of 12.5 m, the HEC-HMS GIS tools were used for the delimitation of the study basin. The basin was divided into 3 sub-basins in order to better reflect the geomorphological conditions. The HEC-HMS also calculated important geomorphological data such as: longest flowpath length, longest flowpath slope and drainage density, among others. In addition, two reaches were defined to simulate the effect of transit through channels in the basin. The following figure shows the subbasins as delineated with the HEC-HMS GIS tools and the reaches.

Delineated Subbasins

The total area of the study basin is 52.17 km2. Table 3 presents the area of each subbasin.

Subbasin Areas


Element Name

Area (sq km)

Subbasin 1

31.12

Subbasin 2

10.49

Subbasin 3

10.56

Methodology

For each subbasin the following calculation methods were used:

Parameters and Methods Used within HEC-HMS

Parameter

Method

Canopy

Simple Canopy

Surface

Simple Surface

Loss

Soil Moisture Accounting

Transform

Kinematic Wave

Baseflow

Linear Reservoir

For the reaches, Muskingum-Cunge was selected as the routing method. To describe the reaches the eight-point method was used, providing two cross sections, one for each reach.

The period for the reconstruction of the flow series was May 1967- February 1990 (22 years). The years 1979-1980 were chosen as the calibration period.

The precipitation data used was introduced into the model in an hourly format. The runoff time series obtained through the previous simulation using the HSPF was used as the “observed flow” in the HEC-HMS for calibration purposes.

The Linear Reservoir Parameters table, Muskingum-Cunge Reach Routing Parameters table, and the SMA Parameters table show the parameters used for the methods considered most relevant in the simulation with the HEC-HMS. All these parameters were estimated from experience and previous studies in nearby watersheds.

Results

Below is the Statistic Report table produced by HEC-HMS containing data which confirms the high performance rating obtained using the HEC-HMS calibration in comparison to the data obtained with the HSPF.


Statistic Report from HEC-HMS for the Calibration Period (1979 - 1980)

Computation Point

RMSE Stdev

Nash Sutcliffe

Percent Bias

R2

Sink-1

0.38

0.86

-1.03

0.86

According to the article Model Evaluation Guidelines for Systematic Quantification of Accuracy in Watershed Simulations by Moriasi et al (2007), these values fall within the "Very Good" category for model performance on a daily and weekly time step.

Performance Ratings Table for Evaluation Metrics

Performance Rating

R2

NSE

RSR

PBIAS

Very Good

0.65<R2≤1.00

0.65<NSE≤1.00

0.00<RSR≤0.60

PBIAS≤±15

Good

0.55<R2≤0.65

0.55<NSE≤0.65

0.60<RSR≤0.70

±15≤PBIAS<±20

Satisfactory

0.40<R2≤0.55

0.40<NSE≤0.55

0.70<RSR≤0.80

±20≤PBIAS<±30

Unsatisfactory

R2≤0.40

NSE≤0.40

RSR>0.80

PBIAS≥±30

Linear Reservoir Parameters


Element Name

Baseflow Fraction

Number Reservoirs

Routing Coefficient

Initial Flow/Area Ratio

Subbasin - 1





Layer 1

0.3

2

30

0

Layer 2

0.7

1

800

0.01

Subbasin - 2





Layer 1

0.3

1

30

0

Layer 2

0.7

2

1200

0.01

Subbasin - 3





Layer 1

0.3

1

30

0

Layer 2

0.7

2

1200

0.01

Muskingum-Cunge Reach Routing Parameters


Element Name

Method

Channel

Length (M)

Energy Slope

Mannings n

Left Mannings n

Right Mannings n

Cross Section Name

Initial Variable

Space - Time Method

Index Parameter Type

Index Celerity

Maximum Depth Iterations

Maximum Route Step Iterations

Reach - 1

Muskingum Cunge

8 - point

4449.13

0.1

0.05

0.05

0.05

Reach_1

Combined Inflow

Automatic DX and DT

Index Celerity

1.52

20

30

Reach - 2

Muskingum Cunge

8 - point

2311.31

0.1

0.05

0.05

0.05

Reach_2

Combined Inflow

Automatic DX and DT

Index Celerity

1.52

20

30

SMA Parameters


Element Name

Percent Impervious Area

Initial Soil Storage Percent

Initial Gw1 Storage Percent

Initial Gw2 Storage Percent

Soil Maximum Infiltration

Soil Storage Capacity

Soil Tension Capacity

Soil Maximum Percolation

Groundwater 1 Storage Capacity

Groundwater 1 Routing Coefficient

Groundwater 1 Maximum Percolation

Groundwater 2 Storage Capacity

Groundwater 2 Routing Coefficient

Groundwater 2 Maximum Percolation

Subbasin - 1

0

0

0

0

6

150

17

29

50

12

5

160

100

0.7

Subbasin - 2

0

0

0

0

6

150

17

29

50

12

5

160

100

0.7

Subbasin - 3

0

0

0

0

6

150

17

29

50

12

5

160

100

0.7

The following figure presents the comparison between HEC-HMS and HSPF daily hydrographs for the calibration period.

Comparison between HEC-HMS and HSPF daily hydrographs

With the set of parameters resulting from the calibration process, the model was run throughout a period of 22 years. HEC-HMS produced a statistics report measuring the performance metrics of the HEC-HMS results versus the HSPF results.

Statistic Report from HEC-HMS for the Complete Study Period


Computation Point

RMSE Stdev

Nash Sutcliffe

Percent Bias

R2

Sink-1

0.43

0.82

-4.44

0.82

As observed in the results from the previous table, the performance metrics of the model falls within the "Very Good" category proposed by Moriasi et al. The average flow obtained with HEC-HMS for the entire period is 1.36 m3/s. The average flow obtained with HSPF for the same period was 1.42 m3/s. The following figure shows the HEC-HMS runoff time series vs the HSPF’s runoff time series for the entire study period.

HEC-HMS runoff time series vs HSPF's runoff time series

The flow duration curve was calculated for both time series. Points of interest in the curves are also compared specifically, flow rate with probability of exceedance of 50%, 80% and 95%.

Flow Duration Curves for HMS and HSPF

Comparison of Exceedance Probability vs Flow at Specific Points


Exceedance

HSPF (cms)

HMS (cms)

50%

0.68

0.71

80%

0.30

0.33

95%

0.16

0.14

Conclusions

  • HEC-HMS satisfactorily reproduces the results obtained with the HSPF in the basin of the La Magüana River dam site in the Dominican Republic during an approximate 22 year period.
  • The mean flow value obtained with HEC-HMS corresponds adequately to the data received from INDRHI in El Naranjal, the dam site.
  • The HEC-HMS kinematic wave method has been successfully applied for the rain-runoff transformation in a rural watershed.