This course provides users with theoretical background in statistical analysis as well as practice using analysis techniques and tools required for practical applications.  Topics covered include univariate and multivariate frequency analysis, regional analysis of hydrometeorological data, and regression analysis.  Knowledge gained within the lectures is applied through the use of the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Statistical Software Package (HEC-SSP) as well as other commercial software packages in complementary workshops.  

You will need HEC-SSP version 2.3.1 to open some of the workshop files. You can download the software here: https://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-ssp/download.aspx.  If you have any questions, please contact Mike Bartles.

You will need CRAN R version 4.4.3 or newer for some of the workshops.  It is available on the App Portal.  Search for "r foundation r for windows" and sort by newest first.  If you have any questions, contact Greg Karlovits.

You will need RStudio version 2024.12.1 or newer for some of the workshops.  It is available on the App Portal.  Search for "Posit RStudio" and sort by newest first.  If you have any questions, contact Greg Karlovits.

App Portal installations can take 2 or more days to start so please request these installations prior to the class starting.  CIO / G6 Software App Portal (army.mil)

The 2025 class will be taught virtually. All lectures, with the exception of the Introduction to Probability, Statistics, and Distributions lecture, are pre-recorded and available on YouTube. Captions are available for all YouTube lecture videos. 

See Statistical Methods in Hydrology (April 2025) Course Material for all class materials.

Instructors

Mike Bartles (Bartles_bio_2025_Prospect.pdf)

Avital Breverman (Introduction video) (Course Coordinator - Breverman_bio_2025_Prospect.pdf)

Beth Faber (Faber_bio_2021.pdf)

Greg Karlovits (Introduction video) (Karlovits_bio_2024_Prospect.pdf)

Melissa Mika (Mika_bio_2025_Prospect.pdf)

Blackboard Learn

https://usace.llc.army.mil

ModuleTopicInstructor(s)Duration (hr)Start (Hawaii)End (Hawaii)Start (Pacific)End (Pacific)Start (Mountain)End (Mountain)Start (Central)End (Central)Start (Eastern)End (Eastern)
Day 1 (Monday 28 April) Synchronous  

Intro/Admin/Pre-course assessment105:0006:0008:0009:0009:0010:0010:0011:0011:0012:00
L1 (LIVE)Introduction to Probability, Statistics, and Distributions2.7506:0008:4509:0011:4510:0012:4511:0013:4512:0014:45

Break
108:4509:4511:4512:4512:4513:4513:4514:4514:4515:45
W1R/RStudio Crash Course109:4510:4512:4513:4513:4514:4514:4515:4515:4516:45
L2Exploratory Data Analysis
0.7510:4511:3013:4514:3014:4515:3015:4516:3016:4517:30
Before Day 2 (Asynchronous)  
L3Parametric Modeling
1









L4Time Series Analysis
1.33









S1Day 1 Survey











Day 2 (Tuesday 29 April) Synchronous  
ModuleTopicInstructor(s)Duration (hr)Start (Hawaii)End (Hawaii)Start (Pacific)End (Pacific)Start (Mountain)End (Mountain)Start (Central)End (Central)Start (Eastern)End (Eastern)

Review
0.505:0005:3008:0008:3009:0009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
W2Exploratory Data Analysis1.2505:3006:4508:3009:4509:3010:4510:3011:4511:3012:45
L5Introduction to HEC-SSP
106:4507:4509:4510:4510:4511:4511:4512:4512:4513:45

Break
107:4508:4510:4511:4511:4512:4512:4513:4513:4515:45
W3Introduction to HEC-SSP1.2508:4510:0011:4513:0012:4514:0013:4515:0014:4516:00
W4Parametric Modeling1.2510:0011:1513:0014:1514:0015:1515:0016:1516:0017:15
Before Day 3 (Asynchronous)  
L6Bulletin 17B, Bulletin 17C, and Expected Moments Algorithm1.1









L7Monte Carlo Simulation
1









S2Day 2 Survey











Day 3 (Wednesday 30 April) Synchronous  
ModuleTopicInstructor(s)Duration (hr)Start (Hawaii)End (Hawaii)Start (Pacific)End (Pacific)Start (Mountain)End (Mountain)Start (Central)End (Central)Start (Eastern)End (Eastern)

Review
0.505:0005:3008:0008:3009:0009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
D1Demo: Bulletin 17C Analysis in HEC-SSP0.2505:3005:4508:3008:4509:3009:4510:3010:4511:3011:45
W5Bulletin 17C and EMA in HEC-SSP0.7505:4506:3008:4509:3009:4510:3010:4511:3011:4512:30
D2Demo: Monte Carlo Simulation0.506:3007:0009:3010:0010:3011:0011:3012:0012:3013:00

Break
107:0008:0010:0011:0011:0012:0012:0013:0013:0014:00
L8Extreme Value Theory
1.2508:0009:1511:0012:1512:0013:1513:0014:1514:0015:15
W6Extreme Value Theory1.2509:1510:3012:1513:3013:1514:3014:1515:3015:1516:30
Before Day 4 (Asynchronous)  
L9Uncertainty in Frequency Estimates
1.25









L10Regional Precipitation Frequency Analysis
1









S3Day 3 Survey











Day 4 (Thursday 01 May) Synchronous  
ModuleTopicInstructor(s)Duration (hr)Start (Hawaii)End (Hawaii)Start (Pacific)End (Pacific)Start (Mountain)End (Mountain)Start (Central)End (Central)Start (Eastern)End (Eastern)

Review
0.505:0005:3008:0008:3009:0009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
W7Peaks Over Threshold105:3006:3008:3009:3009:3010:3010:3011:3011:3012:30
W8Regional Precipitation Frequency Analysis1.2506:3007:4509:3010:4510:3011:4511:3012:4512:3013:45
L11Multivariate Analysis
0.7507:4508:3010:4511:3011:4512:3012:4513:3013:4514:30
D3Multivariate AnalysisGreg Karlovits 0.2508:3008:4511:3011:4512:3012:4513:3013:4514:3014:45

Break
108:4509:4511:4512:4512:4513:4513:4514:4514:4515:45
L12Coincident Frequency
109:4510:4512:4513:4513:4514:4514:4515:4515:4516:45
W9Coincident Frequency1.2510:4512:0013:4515:0014:4516:0015:4517:0016:4518:00
Before Day 5 (Asynchronous)  
L13Simple Linear Regression
1









L14Future of Flood Risk Data (FFRD) Application
0.75









S4Day 4 Survey











Day 5 (Friday 02 May) Synchronous  
ModuleTopicInstructor(s)Duration (hr)Start (Hawaii)End (Hawaii)Start (Pacific)End (Pacific)Start (Mountain)End (Mountain)Start (Central)End (Central)Start (Eastern)End (Eastern)

Review
0.505:0005:3008:0008:3009:0009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
W10Simple Linear Regression1.2505:3006:4508:3009:4509:3010:4510:3011:4511:3012:45
L15Multiple Linear Regression
0.7506:4507:3009:4510:3010:4511:3011:4512:3012:4513:30

Break
107:3008:3010:3011:3011:3012:3012:3013:3013:3014:30
W11Multiple Linear Regression208:3010:3011:3013:3012:3014:3013:3015:3014:3016:30
LIVEPost-course feedback 0.510:3011:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00
Day 5 Asynchronous  
L16CA DWR Division of Safety of Dams (DSOD) Regression Application
0.75









S5Day 5 Survey