Return to Introduction to Parametric Area Reduction in HMS

Depth-area-reduction relationships used in this workshop were developed from depth-area-duration information in NOAA’s Hydrometeorological Report No. 51 (HMR 51, https://www.weather.gov/owp/hdsc_pmp). The historic storms contained in HMR 51 were influential in setting the level of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) for the Eastern U.S. Below is the figure from HMR 51 showing the locations of the more influential storms used to develop PMP index maps. 

image-2023-2-14_8-38-56.png

Only depth area duration information for storms within the state of Texas or near the study area were selected for this tutorial, this included nine historic storms: 

  • Storm 7
  • Storm 17
  • Storm 26
  • Storm 37
  • Storm 49
  • Storm 57
  • Storm 65
  • Storm 82
  • Storm 88

The figure below shows an example of the depth-area-duration table from the Appendix of HMR 51 for one of these storms.

Set up the Meteorologic Model

  1. Open the Village_Creek.hms project file
  2. From the Components menu, create a new Meteorologic Model and name it Hyp_HMR51_Storm7 and in the Meteorologic Model editor panel, select Hypothetical Storm for the Precipitation method.
  3. On the Basins tab, select Yes to Include Subbasins for the Village_Creek Basin Model.
  4. Make the following selections for the Hypothetical Storm Meteorologic Model:
    1. Method: User-Specified
    2. Storm Pattern: Oct_2006_Event_96hr
    3. Storm Duration: 96
    4. Spatial Distribution: Uniform
    5. Precipitation Method: Precipitation-Frequency Grid
    6. Computation Point: Basin: Village Creek, Element: NechesRv_Nr_Beaumont
    7. Area Reduction Method: Parametric
    8. Storm Area : 1130.1 sq mi (this is optional and used if you want to override the area from the Computation Point)
  5. Your editor panel should look like the image below
  6. Before adding the depth area duration data for Storm 7, copy the Meteorologic Model to create a new Meteorologic Model and title it Hyp_HMR51ShortStorms. 

In the next step, you will fit the parameters to the data and fill in values for Normalization Factor, Constant Exponent, Dynamic Exponent and Holder Exponent.

Continue to Populating Depth Area Duration Dialog