Part 6 – View and Interpret Output
As shown below, not enough events were simulated on the more frequent end of the probability space to accurately estimate an annual chance of exceeding these two thresholds. If this determination is required, the skip rules should be revisited in order to simulate more frequently occurring events.
The skip flag should be set to a lower peak flow rate. This would result in more frequently occurring events being simulated within the HEC-RAS and HEC-FIA alternatives and provide better definition of more frequently occurring damages within the modeling domain.
Additionally, more events per realization should be simulated. This would result in additional rare events being simulated within the HEC-RAS and HEC-FIA alternatives and provide better definition of rarely occurring damages within the modeling domain.
When 10 realizations, each consisting of 1000 events, are simulated with a skip rule set to the approximate 1/2 annual chance exceedance peak flow rate at the WestFork location, the resultant number of structures damaged- and aggregated damage-frequency relationships resemble Figure 2 and Figure 3, respectively.