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Flood Frequency Analysis (April 2026)
Course Description
This course enables the participant to make technically sound and efficient discharge-frequency estimates. The course focuses on the theoretical basis for frequency analysis, application of techniques contained in the "Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency," Bulletin 17C, and application of the computer program HEC-SSP. The course is intended for engineers, hydrologists, and others involved in developing discharge-frequency estimates at gaged and ungaged locations.
Important Links
- Software Downloads
- Latest version of HEC-SSP: https://drive.hecdev.net/share/SzcRN7hi
- HEC-HMS v4.14-beta.1: https://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-hms/downloads.aspx
- References
- .Glossary of Common Statistical Terms and Acronyms v2.3
- Guidelines for determining flood flow frequency — Bulletin 17C
- USACE Engineer Manual 1110-2-1415 Hydrologic Frequency Analysis
- USACE Engineer Manual 1110-2-1417 Flood-Runoff Analysis
- HEC-SSP Documentation
- HEC-HMS Documentation
Instructors
- Mike Bartles - Bartles_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- Avital Breverman (Coordinator) - Breverman_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- David Ho - Ho_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- Will Lehman - Lehman_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- Dan McGraw - McGraw_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- Melissa Mika - Mika_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
- Richard Nugent - Nugent_Biography_2026.pdf
- Nick Van - Van_bio_2026_Prospect.pdf
Agenda
Day 1 - Monday 27 April | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start Time | End Time | Duration (min) | Instructor | Topic | Links to Materials | Supplementary Material |
| 0800 | 0830 | 30 | Admin/Introduction/Pre-test | |||
| 0830 | 0915 | 45 | Statistical Hydrology History | |||
| 0915 | 0920 | 5 | Mini Break | |||
| 0920 | 0950 | 30 | Probability and Statistics: Introduction, Probability, and Randomness | Intro-Probability and the Nature of Randomness.pptx | ||
| 0950 | 1015 | 25 | Probability and Statistics: Events | Probability_and_Statistics_Events_2026.pptx | ||
| 1015 | 1025 | 10 | Break | |||
| 1025 | 1055 | 30 | Probability and Statistics: Samples and Populations | Samples and Populations.pptx | ||
| 1055 | 1110 | 15 | Probability and Statistics Demo: Dice Rolling | Dice Roll R Shiny Demo: Dice Experiment in R | ||
| 1110 | 1140 | 30 | Probability and Statistics: Probability Distributions and Models | Probability_and_Statistics_Probability_Distributions_and_Models_2026.pptx | ||
| 1140 | 1200 | 20 | Probability and Statistics Demo: Distribution Fitting | Distribution Fitting R Shiny Demo: distribution_fitting.R (Excel version: Part 2. Distribution Fitting) | ||
| 1200 | 1300 | 60 | Lunch | |||
| 1300 | 1415 | 75 | Time Series Analysis and Exploratory Data Analysis | Exploratory Data Analysis and Time Series Data.pptx | ||
| 1415 | 1430 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1430 | 1545 | 75 | Introduction to HEC-SSP Lecture | |||
| 1545 | 1700 | 75 | Introduction to HEC-SSP Workshop | Introduction to HEC-SSP | Introduction to HEC-SSP Lecture Videos | |
Day 2 - Tuesday 28 April | ||||||
| Start Time | End Time | Duration (min) | Topic | |||
| 0800 | 0815 | 15 | Review | |||
| 0815 | 0845 | 30 | Exploratory Data Analysis Demo | Exploratory Data Analysis RShiny App | ||
| 0845 | 0900 | 15 | Introduction to Block Maximum | Block Maxima.pptx | ||
| 0900 | 1000 | 60 | Parametric Modeling | LP3 Parameters R Shiny Demo: lp3.R | ||
| 1000 | 1015 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1015 | 1115 | 60 | Bulletin 17C and EMA Overview | |||
| 1115 | 1200 | 45 | Bulletin 17C and EMA in HEC-SSP Workshop | Using Bulletin 17C Methodology within HEC-SSP (only do Tasks 1 - 3) | ||
| 1200 | 1300 | 60 | Lunch | |||
| 1300 | 1415 | 75 | Non-Standard Data, Outliers, Historical Data Lecture | |||
| 1415 | 1530 | 75 | Frequency Curves with Low Outlier and Historical Information Workshop | Using Bulletin 17C Methodology within HEC-SSP (Task 4) Frequency Curves with Low Outlier and Historical Information (all tasks) | ||
| 1530 | 1545 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1545 | 1700 | 75 | Uncertainty in Frequency Estimates Lecture | |||
Day 3 - Wednesday 29 April | ||||||
| Start Time | End Time | Duration (min) | Topic | |||
| 0800 | 0815 | 15 | Review | |||
| 0815 | 0845 | 30 | Uncertainty Workshop | R Shiny: Uncertainty in Probability Estimates in R (Task 1 and Task 2) | ||
| 0945 | 0930 | 45 | Graphical Frequency Analysis Lecture | Graphical Frequency Analysis.pptx | ||
| 0930 | 0945 | 15 | Graphical Frequency Analysis Demo | |||
| 0945 | 1000 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1000 | 1100 | 60 | Peaks Over Threshold/Partial Duration Series Lecture | Peaks_Over_Threshold_Partial_Duration_Series_Lecture_2026.pptx | ||
| 1100 | 1200 | 60 | Peaks Over Threshold/Partial Duration Series Workshop | Peaks Over Threshold Analysis: Flood Separation and Threshold Choice | ||
| 1200 | 1300 | 60 | Lunch | |||
| 1300 | 1400 | 60 | Modeling Mixed Populations Lecture | Interagency Mixed Populations Work Unit Webinars | ||
| 1400 | 1500 | 60 | Mixed Populations in HEC-SSP | Mixed Population Analysis | ||
| 1500 | 1515 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1515 | 1600 | 45 | Developing Unregulated Time Series Lecture | |||
| 1600 | 1700 | 60 | Developing Unregulated Time Series Workshop | Transforming Regulated Streamflow to Unregulated Streamflow using Hydrologic Routing | ||
Day 4 - Thursday 30 April | ||||||
| Start Time | End Time | Duration (min) | Topic | |||
| 0800 | 0815 | 15 | Review | |||
| 0815 | 0900 | 45 | Regional Skew Lecture | |||
| 0900 | 0945 | 45 | Regional Skew Workshop |
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| 0945 | 1000 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1000 | 1030 | 30 | Correlation Lecture | |||
| 1030 | 1115 | 45 | Streamflow Record Extension Lecture | |||
| 1115 | 1200 | 45 (75 total) | Record Extension in HEC-SSP Workshop | Annual Peak Flow Record Extension | ||
| 1200 | 1300 | 60 | Lunch | |||
| 1300 | 1330 | 30 (75 total) | Record Extension in HEC-SSP Workshop | Annual Peak Flow Record Extension | ||
| 1330 | 1430 | 60 | Joint Probability | Joint_Probability_2026.pptx | ||
| 1430 | 1415 | 15 | Break | |||
| 1415 | 1445 | 30 | Coincident Frequency Analysis Workshop/Copula Demo | |||
| 1445 | 1515 | 30 | Copula Demo | |||
| 1515 | 1600 | 45 | Frequency Curves in Data Poor Environments | |||
| 1600 | 1615 | 15 | USGS StreamStats Demo | USGS StreamStats Demonstration | ||
Day 5 - Friday 1 May | ||||||
| Start Time | End Time | Duration (min) | Topic | |||
| 0800 | 0815 | 15 | Review | |||
| 0815 | 0945 | 90 | Precipitation Frequency to Flow Frequency with HEC-HMS Lecture | |||
| 0945 | 1115 | 90 | Precipitation Frequency to Flow Frequency with HEC-HMS Workshop | Modeling Flow-Frequency Relationships using HEC-HMS Optional: Combining Flow Frequency Curves Determined by Independent Estimates | ||
| 1115 | 1200 | 45 | All | Post-Test and Course Survey | ||